Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips - 3:30pm Cheltenham

2019 Cheltenham Gold Cup Preview

The most anticipated race of the week and this year’s renewal promises to be one of the most competitive in recent times. Last years first four are all heading towards a rematch and  one or two younger horses coming through the ranks to join in its should be a race to savour.

Let’s kick off with the 2017 hero Native River, since that day last March he has ran twice, his first run of the season was in the Betfair Chase where he was a well beaten second behind Bristol De Mai. He looked in need of the race and maybe the ground was a bit quick for him that day.

He then went to the King George at Kempton and ran another decent race to finish 3rd to Clan Des Obeaux, he was beaten 13 ½  lengths and never really looked a threat. I’m not sure the flat track suited and didn’t play to his strengths. I’m sure we haven’t seen the best of him and will be hard to beat if he turns up in the same mood as twelve months ago.

Might Bite was runner up last year and just got outstayed up the run in, his doubters have always been concerned about his stamina and although he went on to win comfortably at Aintree a month later he still has to prove it at Cheltenham.

This season has been a bit of a car-crash for Might Bite so far, he was last in the Betfair Chase beaten a long way out and then was seventh in the King George prompting his owners and trainer to have him checked out. He has since undergone a small wind operation and hopefully he can get his career back on track now.

The Irish have a very strong challenge again this season, they have won the race three times in the last five seasons and have four of the front six in the ante-post betting lists.

Presenting Percy is the name on everyone’s lips at the minute, the 8yo is trained by Pat Kelly and has come through the ranks over the last couple of years. He first came to prominence when he won the Pertemps Final in 2017. The following year he went over fences which was always going to be game.

He won four times last season ending with a fine display in the RSA Chase where he defeated old rival Monalee by and impressive 7 lengths. He took the roof off that day as he had been backed down to 5/2 favourite by his mass of Irish supporters.

This year was always going to be about the Gold Cup and he started his campaign by taking the Grade 2 Galmoy Hurdle on his first outing since Cheltenham. He looks the finished article now and it will be interesting when we finally see him get in the ring with the big boys.

Kemboy is an interesting sort, he is only a 7yo and has won five chases from his eight starts. Prior to this season he was only rated 147 over fences and finished 4th in the JLT at the Festival twelve months ago.

Since then he has took off, he ended last term by winning a handicap at Punchestown and after a break came out and took the Clonmel Oil Chase beating Alpha Des Obeaux by 3 lengths. He had been lined up to run in the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury but due to travel complications he couldn’t run and was diverted to Leopardstown for the Savills Chase.

The rest is history as they say and his dominant display at Leopardstown led to the handicapper giving him a new mark of 167, so he’s gone up 20lbs since last spring.

Al Boum Photo is another Willie Mullins horse that has come into the Gold Cup picture recently. He was beaten when falling in the RSA last season but then bounced back to win a Grade 1 at Fairyhouse in April.

He made his seasonal debut at Tramore in a Listed contest and beat stable mate Total Recall by six lengths. He has yet to win over 3m so that has to be a worry but is an improving chaser and deserves to take his chance.

The English defence is strengthened by the emergence of the Paul Nicholls trained Clan Des Obeaux. He was a decent chaser last season but wasn’t  breaking any records and ended up finishing 3rd to Might Bite at Aintree in the Betway Bowl.

He started this season with a fair run in the Betfair Chase where was 4th to Bristol De Mai and that was just about as good as he was, or so we thought. He lined up at Kempton on Boxing Day in the King George as a 12/1 outsider and surprised everyone by winning in impressive fashion from Thistlecrack. There were a few excuses for beaten rivals that day but you can’t take anything away from the manner of his victory.

He has since followed up at Ascot with another breath taking dispaly of jumping and it looks as though Paul Nicholls has another young progressive chaser on his hands.

He’ snow been given a rating of 173 which puts him right up there with the best chasers around so he has to be taken seriously despite some stamina worries. As for Thistlecrack, he looked back to somewhere near his best to be honest and connections will be hoping for a big run on what looks his last chance at the age of eleven.

Colin Tizzard has a third runner in Elegant Escape, he was second in the Ladbroke Trophy at Newbury and then went on to win the Welsh National a month later. Despite having two very hard races he then came out and finsihed second to Frodon. Whether thats one hard race too many we shall find out and maybe next year he will be trained to win this race rather than contesting handicaps.

Punters Lounge Tip: Native River 11/2 at Betfair - Click Here To Bet

Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends
Cheltenham Gold Cup Previous Winners
Year WinnerAgeJockeyTrainerSP
2019Al Boum Photo7Paul TownendWille Mullins12/1
2018Native River8Richard JohnsonColin Tizzard5/1
2017Sizing John7Robbie PowerJessica Harrington7/1
2016Don Cossack9B CooperG Elliott9/4
2015Coneygree8N de BoinvilleM Bradstock7/1
2014Lord Windermere8D RussellJ Culloty20/1
2013Bobs Worth8B GeraghtyN Henderson11/4
2012Synchronised8A McCoyJ O'Neill8/1
2011Long Run6S Waley-CohenN Henderson7/2
2010Imperial Commander9P BrennanN Twiston-Davies7/1
2009Kauto Star9R WalshP Nicholls7/4

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