Brown Advisory Plate Tips - 4:10pm Cheltenham

2020 Brown Advisory Handicap Chase Preview

Cheltenham stage a series of 2m4f handicap chases throughout the season but this is the one they all want to win and it’s by far the most competitive. The trends will tell you to look for something under 11st as only one winner in the last decade has carried more than that and that was The Storyteller in 2018 who went on to win at Grade 1 level.

The race has seen a slight change over the last three years with the younger chasers coming to the fore and last year’s winner, 6yo Siruh De Lac ended a run of wins for the Irish trained horses. He has only had one run since then and it was a disappointing effort when pulled up here in November.

Simply The Betts leads the charge for the home side this year, the 7yo is trained by Harry Wittington and has won three of his four starts this term. Last season he was no more than a decent handicap hurdler but the switch to fences has seen a rapid rise in fortunes.

He booked his ticket here with a win here over C/D at the trials meeting in January, he beat Imperial Aura by a length and a half and showed real battling qualities that day.

Dan Skelton’s Oldgrangewood had lost his way slightly last season and was given a wind op in the summer. It certainly seems to have worked as he has bounced back to his best form in three starts so far. It has coincided with him switching back to 2m4f and his victory here on New Year’s Day in the Paddy Power Chase was a decent effort.

He had earlier beaten the useful Kalashnikov in a titanic battle at Newbury and is now 11lbs higher than when he started the season.

The yard also has Spiritofthegames in the line-up, he ran a cracker in this race 12 months ago to finish third and is only 2lbs higher here. He too had a wind op and it took him time to get used to running after the surgery, it can take some horse a couple of runs to adjust to it. He bounced back to life here in the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup when a close second to Warthog and then followed that with another runners up spot behind Cepage here in January. He seems to come to life here and looks sure to go well.

Gordon Elliott had ten original entries for this race so anything he runs must be considered. Ben Dundee looks to have a chance off his current mark. Last year he was third in the Close Brothers Chase off 141 and now has 6lbs more to carry, his second at Navan in December was a decent effort and was raised 4lbs, another 3 have been added by the handicapper here so his options are limited.

Kerry Lee’s Happy Diva has had a good year with her best performance her on the Old Course when winning the BetVictor Gold Cup in November. She went up 6lbs for that and has ran well in defeat the last twice, especially when second to Lady Buttons at Doncaster in a Mares Listed contest. She loves Cheltenham, jumps well and is as genuine as they come.

La Bague Au Roi is the mount for Richard Johnson, the 9yo bypassed this meeting last year to wait for Aintree but connections have decided to go down the handicap route this year and gets in on a nice racinbg weight of 11st 4lbs. Her form this season has been steady without setting the world alight and this drop in class could just be what she wants.

Irish trainer Willie Mullins has three runners in the race, on jockey bookings Robin Des Foret looks to be his best chance. He was a decent third here at Cheltenham in December and has not been disgraced in two efforts since. Last time out he was 5th of 24 behind Glamorgan Duke at Leopardstown and that is pretty solid form.

StablemateLivelovelaugh is owned by the Ricci family, he was down the field in the Kim Muir last year and didnt fair much better in the Grand National at Aintree a month later. He was disappointing yet again at Gowran last time out so a much needed return to form is required. The yards third runner is Blazer, he has ran pretty well in two handicaps this season without really threatening to win. He is definitely the type to pop in at a big price in a race such as this so is not totally dismissed.

The final one for the shortlist is the Alan King trained Deyrann De Carjac, the 7yo has ran well in all three starts since his summer break, he opened up with a win at Huntingdon where he beat Pym in a novice chase. Next time out took on Champ in a Grade 2 contest and was third beaten just over 6 lengths. Last time out he ran here at Cheltenham in the Dipper Chase and was a god third behind Midnight Shadow. He now goes handicapping off a mark of 145 and he could be one of well treated horses in the line up.

Punters Lounge Tip: Oldgrangewood EW 14/1 at bet365 - Click Here To Bet
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